Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Daria Kasatkina pressure: $30.5K net directional flow in 1h.
13 verified profitable wallets: Daria Kasatkina · $8.6K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 84% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Daria Kasatkina or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Daria Kasatkina in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Paula Badosa price VWAP
Largest holders
Paula Badosa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.