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China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua

Sports→Settlement: Renata ZarazuaLiquidity: $491.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $515.4KEvent: China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua
0.0¢
Anna Bondar payout
100.0¢
Renata Zarazua payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:189 trades$185.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Renata Zarazua · $10.5K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$46.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLRenata Zarazua$35.9K@ 100¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Renata Zarazua. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Renata Zarazua in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Renata Zarazua. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Anna Bondar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Renata Zarazua1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Renata Zarazua@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Renata Zarazua UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $21.4K → $6.9K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Anna Bondar; negative values favor Renata Zarazua. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnna Bondar · $29.9K
6hAnna Bondar · $25.5K
24hAnna Bondar · $25.5K

Anna Bondar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Anna Bondar price. Renata Zarazua fills are converted to the complementary Anna Bondar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h32.6¢▼ below by 32.6pp
VWAP 7d32.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Anna Bondar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$4
70¢
$7.1K
65¢
$10.8K
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
$12.3K
50¢
$11.3K
45¢
$37.5K
40¢
$7.1K
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$35.1K
25¢
$2.9K
20¢
$2.7K
15¢
$1.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$53.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRenata Zarazua$35.9K@ 99.9¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnna Bondar$15.0K@ 46.4¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRenata Zarazua$10.0K@ 53.0¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLRenata Zarazua$20.1K@ 66.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackRenata Zarazua$28.7K
BUY VWAP 43.2¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Anna Bondar$15.0K
BUY VWAP 46.4¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesRenata Zarazua$13.2K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·24 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.