PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 32 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $327.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $791.6KEvent: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
99.9¢
PARIVISION
0.1¢
LGD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:241 trades$277.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PARIVISION · $7.1K net·18 wallets·$17.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPARIVISION$25.2K@ 73¢·ColdBlooded

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

LGD Gaming pressure: $29.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$29.8K
6h
+$104.2K
tracked
$277.2K

18 verified profitable wallets: PARIVISION · $7.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 32 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 32 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LGD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against PARIVISION.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Winner match between PARIVISION and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x7714…b8142 linked markets · $36.2K gross
GameGambleStakes2 linked markets · $25.3K gross
RewardFarmilka2 linked markets · $21.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY PARIVISION@ 99.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY PARIVISION2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY PARIVISION@ 84.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY PARIVISION@ 85.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: LGD Gaming DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $32 → $1 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PARIVISION; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLGD Gaming · $29.8K
6hPARIVISION · $104.2K
24hPARIVISION · $104.2K

PARIVISION price VWAP

Volume-weighted PARIVISION price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary PARIVISION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h88.6¢▲ above by 11.3pp
VWAP 7d88.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

PARIVISION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$116.3K
90¢
$10.3K
85¢
$25.5K
80¢
$59.1K
75¢
$34.4K
70¢
$29.4K
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$1.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPARIVISION$10.4K@ 99.9¢
GameGambleStakes0xb26f…9536
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPARIVISION$21.8K@ 99.7¢
depresssin0xcc77…c035
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLPARIVISION$10.3K@ 98.0¢
Iztamox0x1720…3c09
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPARIVISION$13.0K@ 98.0¢
RewardFarmilka0xa8f1…fee6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPARIVISION$23.0K@ 82.0¢
ColdBlooded0xbcc3…ac9c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION$25.2K@ 73.4¢
ColdBlooded0xbcc3…ac9c
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
87.5¢$210.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
100.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
51.5¢$528.9Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies
100.0¢$466.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercan
66.5¢$445.5Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$444.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ColdBloodedPARIVISION$63.7K
BUY VWAP 77.7¢·5 fills
depresssinPARIVISION$21.8K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·1 fill
RewardFarmilkaPARIVISION$13.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.