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China Open: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $127.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $426.4KEvent: China Open: Ignacio Buse vs Quentin Halys
10.5¢
Ignacio Buse payout
89.5¢
Quentin Halys payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:68 trades$141.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Quentin Halys · $118.5K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$133.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYQuentin Halys$30.9K@ 96¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Quentin Halys in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Quentin Halys@ 76.7¢49m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Quentin Halys@ 94.4¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Quentin Halys UP 6.4pp · near-book depth $95.0K → $54.8K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ignacio Buse; negative values favor Quentin Halys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hQuentin Halys · $51.9K
6hQuentin Halys · $112.1K
24hQuentin Halys · $117.1K

Ignacio Buse price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ignacio Buse price. Quentin Halys fills are converted to the complementary Ignacio Buse probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h16.3¢▼ below by 5.8pp
VWAP 7d17.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ignacio Buse price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$5.5K
40¢
$10.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$37.3K
20¢
$20.0K
15¢
$3.3K
10¢
← now
$289
5¢
$29.9K
0¢
$39.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYQuentin Halys$30.9K@ 96.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYQuentin Halys$14.8K@ 95.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpQuentin Halys$48.7K
BUY VWAP 95.6¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49Quentin Halys$36.2K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·7 fills
UpTheBluesQuentin Halys$17.8K
BUY VWAP 89.4¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.