PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5

● quote 29s ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $172.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.2KEvent: Southern Miss vs. Troy
50.5¢
Over
49.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection62Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:10 trades$74.2K tracked20% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$42.6K@ 52¢·Mastermoney

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Over pressure: $46.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$46.2K
6h
+$24.9K
tracked
$74.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Over or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Southern Miss and Troy combine to score 52 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 52, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 6 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Southern Miss and Troy combine to score 52 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 52, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 52.0¢37m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $46.2K
6hOver · $24.9K
24hOver · $29.1K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h51.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d51.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$70.0K
45¢
$4.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$42.6K@ 51.9¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUnder$12.4K@ 50.0¢
lalalalalalallalalalala0xe178…fe19
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
100.0¢$4.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino
0.1¢$702.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
0.1¢$497.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
52.5¢$446.2Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova
9.5¢$348.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MastermoneyOver$42.6K
BUY VWAP 51.9¢·1 fill
lalalalalalallalalalalaUnder$22.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.