Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
North Carolina pressure: $3.2K net directional flow in 1h.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 90% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from North Carolina or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game by 4 or more points.
•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina".
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Pittsburgh price VWAP
Largest holders
Pittsburgh price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.