PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Missouri (-3.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $23.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $154.6KEvent: Texas A&M vs. Missouri
69.0¢
Missouri
31.0¢
Texas A&M
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution64Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$65.8K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 51 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Missouri · $15.3K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$29.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMissouri$12.9K@ 53¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Texas A&M pressure: $3.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.7K
6h
+$49.8K
tracked
$65.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Missouri · $15.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 51 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 16.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Texas A&M or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas A&M".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 10 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas A&M". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
primm2 linked markets · $127.0K gross
maz262 linked markets · $10.4K gross
0x9a47…94cd2 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Missouri@ 54.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp
Latest book event: Texas A&M UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $19.0K → $4.8K · 35s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Missouri; negative values favor Texas A&M. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTexas A&M · $3.7K
6hMissouri · $49.8K
24hMissouri · $49.9K

Missouri price VWAP

Volume-weighted Missouri price. Texas A&M fills are converted to the complementary Missouri probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current69.0¢
VWAP 24h51.1¢▲ above by 17.9pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Missouri price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$47.5K
45¢
$20.2K
40¢
$502
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMissouri$12.9K@ 53.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMissouri$11.1K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
0.1¢$2.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$425.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
31.5¢$413.9Kpriority80Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
0.1¢$372.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooMissouri$22.4K
BUY VWAP 52.1¢·7 fills
ferrariChampions2026Missouri$11.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.