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Texas vs. Oklahoma

Sports→American FootballSettlement: OklahomaLiquidity: $1.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.9MEvent: Texas vs. Oklahoma
0.0¢
Texas payout
100.0¢
Oklahoma payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas$83.2K@ 78¢·177-letsgo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Oklahoma. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-10 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Oklahoma, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Texas28d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Texas@ 35.0¢28d ago
15m CONFIRMED +34.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Texas28d ago
Outcome checks pending
COUNTER FLOWBUY Oklahoma@ 44.0¢28d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Texas; negative values favor Oklahoma. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTexas · $18.9K
6hTexas · $183.6K
24hTexas · $242.4K

Texas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Texas price. Oklahoma fills are converted to the complementary Texas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h66.04¢▼ below by 66.0pp
VWAP 7d66.06¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Texas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$14.4K
85¢
$87.9K
80¢
$51.0K
75¢
$287.6K
70¢
$16.6K
65¢
$107.3K
60¢
$13
55¢
$137.0K
50¢
$178
45¢
$29.8K
40¢
$5.7K
35¢
$27.5K
30¢
$33.4K
25¢
$8.9K
20¢
$2.3K
15¢
$10.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$22.0K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOklahoma$18.4K@ 61.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$15.7K@ 79.39¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—28 days ago
BUYOklahoma$28.9K@ 70.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—28 days ago
BUYOklahoma$16.6K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—28 days ago
BUYOklahoma$22.5K@ 42.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$41.3K@ 57.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$17.1K@ 57.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$19.7K@ 57.0¢
ohcanada1230x2e26…d96f
🐋—28 days ago
BUYOklahoma$55.1K@ 33.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—28 days ago
BUYOklahoma$27.8K@ 33.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$13.2K@ 93.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$24.0K@ 80.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$22.0K@ 76.92¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$24.6K@ 85.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$26.1K@ 87.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$83.2K@ 78.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$13.0K@ 76.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$10.0K@ 76.01¢0x17c4…2471🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$10.3K@ 75.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—28 days ago
BUYTexas$56.0K@ 75.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—28 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.