PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $211.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $593.2KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.5¢
Luca Van Assche
55.5¢
Ben Shelton
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets72Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:133 trades$229.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ben Shelton · $21.6K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$30.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBen Shelton$18.4K@ 44¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Ben Shelton SETUP
What the tape says

Ben Shelton pressure: $49.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$49.5K
6h
−$85.9K
tracked
$229.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Ben Shelton · $21.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 67

Since latest market sweep: -9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ben Shelton or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Luca Van Assche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf12f…b30f2 linked markets · $6.5K gross
Paul9739732 linked markets · $4.0K gross
erhher2 linked markets · $3.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Luca Van Assche@ 54.0¢25m ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: Ben Shelton DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.4K → $39.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luca Van Assche; negative values favor Ben Shelton. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBen Shelton · $49.5K
6hBen Shelton · $85.9K
24hBen Shelton · $86.2K

Luca Van Assche price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luca Van Assche price. Ben Shelton fills are converted to the complementary Luca Van Assche probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h39.07¢▲ above by 5.4pp
VWAP 7d39.07¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Luca Van Assche price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$47.1K
50¢
$58.4K
45¢
$15.7K
40¢
← now
$0
35¢
$14.4K
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$76.5K
15¢
$12.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBen Shelton$18.4K@ 44.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYBen Shelton$12.0K@ 76.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 1 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
99.95¢$11.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Ben Shelton (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5)
0.05¢$9.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Ben Shelton (-3.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+3.5)
10.0¢$8.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
38.0¢$5.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢$2.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Shelton: Match O/U 23.5
82.0¢$764priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Luca Van Assche vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5
62.5¢$107priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Assche vs. Shelton: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢$12priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Ben Shelton$18.4K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
qiu3Ben Shelton$12.0K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
LimousinLuca Van Assche$11.7K
BUY VWAP 34.40¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.