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Columbus: Oliver Okonkwo vs Luca Staeheli

Sports→TennisSettlement: Luca StaeheliLiquidity: $103.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $166.1KEvent: Columbus: Oliver Okonkwo vs Luca Staeheli
0.0¢
Oliver Okonkwo payout
100.0¢
Luca Staeheli payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOliver Okonkwo$20.0K@ 42¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Luca Staeheli. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Oliver Okonkwo and Luca Staeheli in the Columbus, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Okonkwo' if Oliver Okonkwo advances against Luca Staeheli. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Oliver Okonkwo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Oliver Okonkwo26d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Oliver Okonkwo@ 40.0¢26d ago
15m CONFIRMED +12.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Oliver Okonkwo; negative values favor Luca Staeheli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOliver Okonkwo · $1.3K
6hOliver Okonkwo · $27.0K
24hOliver Okonkwo · $27.0K

Oliver Okonkwo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Oliver Okonkwo price. Luca Staeheli fills are converted to the complementary Oliver Okonkwo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.8¢▼ below by 35.8pp
VWAP 7d35.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Oliver Okonkwo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$34
55¢
$8.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$101
40¢
$20.3K
35¢
$3.6K
30¢
$920
25¢
$88
20¢
$46
15¢
$1.5K
10¢
$3.0K
5¢
$1.2K
0¢
← now
$4.8K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOliver Okonkwo$20.0K@ 42.43¢0x78be…bde0🐋—26 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.