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Utah Tech vs. Portland State

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $9.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $29Event: Utah Tech vs. Portland State
33.0¢
Utah Tech
67.0¢
Portland State
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution65Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$18.4K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 266 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPortland State$9.8K@ 65¢·RollAwayTheDew

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1
tracked
$18.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Portland State · $1.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 266 minutes old.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Utah Tech" if Utah Tech win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Portland State" if Portland State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Utah Tech and Portland State, scheduled for October 10 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Utah Tech" if Utah Tech win the game. This market will resolve to "Portland State" if Portland State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Utah Tech; negative values favor Portland State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUtah Tech · $0
6hPortland State · $1
24hPortland State · $13.6K

Utah Tech price VWAP

Volume-weighted Utah Tech price. Portland State fills are converted to the complementary Utah Tech probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.0¢
VWAP 24h32.9¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d32.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Utah Tech price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$10.9K
30¢
← now
$5.1K
25¢
$2.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.