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W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $78.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $71.4KEvent: W100 Templeton, CA: Madison Brengle vs Mimi Xu
95.0¢
Madison Brengle payout
5.0¢
Mimi Xu payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:18 trades$30.6K trackedsource coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 277 min agoofficial metadata 241 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mimi Xu · $1.3K net·2 wallets·$3.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMadison Brengle$9.6K@ 66¢·HVAB

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Brengle and Mimi Xu in the W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Mimi Xu. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Madison Brengle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Madison Brengle; negative values favor Mimi Xu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMimi Xu · $5
6hMadison Brengle · $3.3K
24hMadison Brengle · $3.3K

Madison Brengle price VWAP

Volume-weighted Madison Brengle price. Mimi Xu fills are converted to the complementary Madison Brengle probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current95.0¢
VWAP 24h67.2¢▲ above by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d67.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Madison Brengle price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.7K
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$2.8K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$13.3K
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.8K
30¢
$5.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.