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Adana: Fiona Crawley vs Elena Pridankina

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $101.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $326.6KEvent: Adana: Fiona Crawley vs Elena Pridankina
59.5¢
Fiona Crawley
40.5¢
Elena Pridankina
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$110.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elena Pridankina · $19.9K net·10 wallets·$62.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElena Pridankina$23.7K@ 51¢·useruserlol

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Elena Pridankina pressure: $1.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.0K
6h
−$30.0K
tracked
$110.5K

10 verified profitable wallets: Elena Pridankina · $19.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 49

Since latest market sweep: -11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elena Pridankina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Fiona Crawley and Elena Pridankina in the Adana, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Crawley' if Fiona Crawley advances against Elena Pridankina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Pridankina' if Elena Pridankina advances against Fiona Crawley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Fiona Crawley19m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Fiona Crawley@ 71.0¢22m ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Elena Pridankina31m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Elena Pridankina@ 40.0¢33m ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp
Latest book event: Elena Pridankina UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $37.3K → $30.5K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fiona Crawley; negative values favor Elena Pridankina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElena Pridankina · $1.0K
6hElena Pridankina · $30.0K
24hElena Pridankina · $30.0K

Fiona Crawley price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fiona Crawley price. Elena Pridankina fills are converted to the complementary Fiona Crawley probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h55.3¢▲ above by 4.2pp
VWAP 7d55.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fiona Crawley price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$6.1K
80¢
$11.0K
75¢
$237
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
← now
$13.6K
50¢
$20.2K
45¢
$54.1K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$347
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$33
20¢
$4
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFiona Crawley$11.0K@ 55.0¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYElena Pridankina$23.7K@ 50.7¢
useruserlol0x6c26…98b9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

useruserlolElena Pridankina$23.7K
BUY VWAP 50.7¢·1 fill
RN1Elena Pridankina$18.6K
BUY VWAP 38.1¢·3 fills
watcherz88Fiona Crawley$17.1K
BUY VWAP 63.3¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardFiona Crawley$14.8K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.