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China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $161.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $396.9KEvent: China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech
14.5¢
Elsa Jacquemot payout
85.5¢
Magdalena Frech payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:72 trades$104.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 73 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Magdalena Frech · $27.7K net·11 wallets·$42.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMagdalena Frech$18.9K@ 94¢·hd777

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Magdalena Frech in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Magdalena Frech. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Elsa Jacquemot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 50m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 50m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Elsa Jacquemot DOWN 4.1pp · near-book depth $4.7K → $14 · 25s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elsa Jacquemot; negative values favor Magdalena Frech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMagdalena Frech · $25.6K
6hMagdalena Frech · $51.3K
24hMagdalena Frech · $53.5K

Elsa Jacquemot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elsa Jacquemot price. Magdalena Frech fills are converted to the complementary Elsa Jacquemot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current14.5¢
VWAP 24h17.0¢▼ below by 2.5pp
VWAP 7d17.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elsa Jacquemot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.9K
35¢
$1.9K
30¢
$14.9K
25¢
$14.0K
20¢
$5.0K
15¢
$14.5K
10¢
← now
$9.7K
5¢
$29.8K
0¢
$12.0K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMagdalena Frech$18.9K@ 94.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Magdalena Frech$18.9K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardMagdalena Frech$13.1K
BUY VWAP 83.3¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesMagdalena Frech$11.0K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.