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Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Team NemesisLiquidity: $389.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $826.8KEvent: Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
100.0¢
Team Nemesis payout
0.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:253 trades$315.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 40 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $6.2K net·29 wallets·$78.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Nemesis$15.0K@ 93¢·RewardFarmilka

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Nemesis. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 20:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Game 1 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Team Nemesis.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Elimination match between Team Nemesis and Natus Vincere in the BLAST Slam Group B, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Team Nemesis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 24m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 24m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf3ce…a57a2 linked markets · $36.4K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $16.2K gross
maytopmay2 linked markets · $11.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Nemesis1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Nemesis@ 68.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +25.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 69.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -52.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 93.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -70.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Team Nemesis UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $29.2K → $8.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Nemesis; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $42.6K
6hNatus Vincere · $92.3K
24hNatus Vincere · $92.3K

Team Nemesis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Nemesis price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary Team Nemesis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h67.2¢▲ above by 32.8pp
VWAP 7d67.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Nemesis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$117.8K
90¢
$15.7K
85¢
$2.3K
80¢
$10.9K
75¢
$7.8K
70¢
$16.7K
65¢
$20.6K
60¢
$9.3K
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$11.5K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$8.2K
30¢
$9.8K
25¢
$31.9K
20¢
$16.4K
15¢
$6.2K
10¢
$26.8K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Nemesis$15.0K@ 93.5¢
RewardFarmilka0xa8f1…fee6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNatus Vincere$13.1K@ 72.3¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe911…3d4eNatus Vincere$18.1K
BUY VWAP 71.7¢·6 fills
0xf3ce…a57aNatus Vincere$17.9K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·2 fills
0xb6b8…149bTeam Nemesis$17.1K
BUY VWAP 74.9¢·7 fills
RewardFarmilkaTeam Nemesis$16.4K
BUY VWAP 85.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.