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Adana: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Sports→Settlement: Lucrezia StefaniniLiquidity: $901.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $626.4KEvent: Adana: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Lucrezia Stefanini
0.0¢
Cagla Buyukakcay payout
100.0¢
Lucrezia Stefanini payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:165 trades$208.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lucrezia Stefanini · $72.4K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$82.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLucrezia Stefanini$20.0K@ 88¢·jaytee158

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lucrezia Stefanini. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cagla Buyukakcay and Lucrezia Stefanini in the Adana, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cagla Buyukakcay' if Cagla Buyukakcay advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Cagla Buyukakcay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cagla Buyukakcay@ 49.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -31.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASESELL Lucrezia Stefanini2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Lucrezia Stefanini@ 77.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Lucrezia Stefanini3h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Cagla Buyukakcay UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $5.7K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cagla Buyukakcay; negative values favor Lucrezia Stefanini. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLucrezia Stefanini · $21.7K
6hLucrezia Stefanini · $92.7K
24hLucrezia Stefanini · $92.7K

Cagla Buyukakcay price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cagla Buyukakcay price. Lucrezia Stefanini fills are converted to the complementary Cagla Buyukakcay probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h30.9¢▼ below by 30.9pp
VWAP 7d30.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cagla Buyukakcay price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$21
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$23.6K
40¢
$36.2K
35¢
$36.6K
30¢
$35.0K
25¢
$22.1K
20¢
$5.5K
15¢
$5.7K
10¢
$29.0K
5¢
$2.3K
0¢
← now
$11.3K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLucrezia Stefanini$17.6K@ 61.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLucrezia Stefanini$15.3K@ 67.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLLucrezia Stefanini$17.2K@ 60.0¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLucrezia Stefanini$16.0K@ 55.7¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
SELLCagla Buyukakcay$16.8K@ 46.6¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLucrezia Stefanini$20.0K@ 88.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtLucrezia Stefanini$58.0K
BUY VWAP 70.6¢·6 fills
AntblackCagla Buyukakcay$20.6K
BUY VWAP 29.1¢·3 fills
jaytee158Lucrezia Stefanini$20.0K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·1 fill
AntblackLucrezia Stefanini$16.0K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardLucrezia Stefanini$10.6K
BUY VWAP 69.5¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.