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Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Remy Bertola

Sports→Settlement: Lucas PoullainLiquidity: $773.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $402.0KEvent: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Remy Bertola
100.0¢
Lucas Poullain payout
0.0¢
Remy Bertola payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:115 trades$177.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 95 min agoofficial metadata 71 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lucas Poullain · $14.3K net·11 wallets·$36.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLucas Poullain$35.2K@ 55¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lucas Poullain. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Remy Bertola in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Remy Bertola. This market will resolve to 'Remy Bertola' if Remy Bertola advances against Lucas Poullain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Lucas Poullain@ 97.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWSELL Lucas Poullain@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Lucas Poullain@ 35.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Lucas Poullain UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $74.5K → $11.6K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lucas Poullain; negative values favor Remy Bertola. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRemy Bertola · $50.8K
6hRemy Bertola · $25.0K
24hRemy Bertola · $25.0K

Lucas Poullain price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lucas Poullain price. Remy Bertola fills are converted to the complementary Lucas Poullain probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h58.9¢▲ above by 41.1pp
VWAP 7d58.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lucas Poullain price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.7K
90¢
$14.5K
85¢
$32.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$136
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$42.6K
50¢
$7.2K
45¢
$9.6K
40¢
$13.4K
35¢
$33.1K
30¢
$294
25¢
$0
20¢
$4.8K
15¢
$9.6K
10¢
$31
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLucas Poullain$32.3K@ 89.9¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLLucas Poullain$35.2K@ 55.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLucas Poullain$10.0K@ 38.5¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYLucas Poullain$10.0K@ 40.4¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYLucas Poullain$10.0K@ 39.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackLucas Poullain$44.9K
BUY VWAP 41.1¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.