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Columbus: Luca Staeheli vs Andres Andrade

Sports→Settlement: Andres AndradeLiquidity: $75.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $87.3KEvent: Columbus: Luca Staeheli vs Andres Andrade
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
Andres Andrade payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:14 trades$26.1K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 158 min agoofficial metadata 83 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Andres Andrade · $9.9K net·4 wallets·$20.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAndres Andrade$4.1K@ 84¢·UpTheBlues

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Andres Andrade. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-07 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Andres Andrade in the Columbus, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor Andres Andrade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndres Andrade · $4.4K
6hAndres Andrade · $13.5K
24hAndres Andrade · $13.5K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. Andres Andrade fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h10.1¢▼ below by 10.1pp
VWAP 7d10.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$8.0K
10¢
$5.5K
5¢
$9.8K
0¢
← now
$2.8K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.