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Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina

Sports→TennisSettlement: Federico CinaLiquidity: $63.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $129.6KEvent: Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina
0.0¢
Elias Ymer payout
100.0¢
Federico Cina payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFederico Cina$16.0K@ 44¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Federico Cina. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-08 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Federico Cina in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 22d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Federico Cina23d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Federico Cina@ 64.0¢23d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elias Ymer; negative values favor Federico Cina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFederico Cina · $231
6hFederico Cina · $15.5K
24hFederico Cina · $16.5K

Elias Ymer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elias Ymer price. Federico Cina fills are converted to the complementary Elias Ymer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.71¢▼ below by 49.7pp
VWAP 7d47.24¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elias Ymer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$17.7K
50¢
$7.4K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$10.8K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$4.8K
20¢
$5
15¢
$0
10¢
$6
5¢
$129
0¢
← now
$262

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFederico Cina$16.0K@ 44.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—23 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.