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China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov

Sports→Settlement: Karen KhachanovLiquidity: $192.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $158.6KEvent: China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov
0.0¢
Alex Molcan payout
100.0¢
Karen Khachanov payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karen Khachanov · $29.0K net·8 wallets·$32.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaren Khachanov$11.9K@ 78¢·coinlaundry

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Karen Khachanov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Karen Khachanov in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Karen Khachanov3d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Karen Khachanov@ 81.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alex Molcan; negative values favor Karen Khachanov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaren Khachanov · $24.4K
6hKaren Khachanov · $56.7K
24hKaren Khachanov · $55.2K

Alex Molcan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alex Molcan price. Karen Khachanov fills are converted to the complementary Alex Molcan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h10.6¢▼ below by 10.6pp
VWAP 7d10.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alex Molcan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$450
20¢
$29.4K
15¢
$2.6K
10¢
$573
5¢
$4.8K
0¢
← now
$37.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKaren Khachanov$11.9K@ 78.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesKaren Khachanov$23.3K
BUY VWAP 98.2¢·17 fills
coinlaundryKaren Khachanov$20.3K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.