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China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $229.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $394.6KEvent: China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang
38.5¢
Sonay Kartal payout
61.5¢
Xinyu Wang payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:113 trades$147.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 119 min agoofficial metadata 89 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sonay Kartal · $24.7K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$69.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYXinyu Wang$18.5K@ 44¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sonay Kartal and Xinyu Wang in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Xinyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Sonay Kartal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Xinyu Wang@ 22.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Sonay Kartal UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $126.8K → $62.8K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sonay Kartal; negative values favor Xinyu Wang. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSonay Kartal · $27.1K
6hSonay Kartal · $8.9K
24hSonay Kartal · $3.1K

Sonay Kartal price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sonay Kartal price. Xinyu Wang fills are converted to the complementary Sonay Kartal probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h67.7¢▼ below by 29.2pp
VWAP 7d67.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sonay Kartal price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$25.8K
90¢
$9.1K
85¢
$19.6K
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$3.7K
70¢
$6
65¢
$0
60¢
$4.3K
55¢
$25.0K
50¢
$42.4K
45¢
$14.5K
40¢
$1.7K
35¢
← now
$4.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYXinyu Wang$18.5K@ 43.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYXinyu Wang$10.1K@ 51.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Xinyu Wang$20.0K
BUY VWAP 43.9¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSonay Kartal$19.1K
BUY VWAP 57.5¢·6 fills
dmoralezSonay Kartal$12.6K
BUY VWAP 96.1¢·5 fills
HomeRunHazardXinyu Wang$12.1K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesSonay Kartal$11.0K
BUY VWAP 74.8¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Xinyu Wang$10.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.