PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

China Open: Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $140.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.0KEvent: China Open: Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter
100.0¢
Maria Sakkari
0.1¢
Storm Hunter
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection42Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets39Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:59 trades$87.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 30 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maria Sakkari · $11.5K net·7 wallets·$23.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaria Sakkari$19.3K@ 99¢·hd777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Maria Sakkari pressure: $26.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$26.2K
6h
+$43.4K
tracked
$87.8K

7 verified profitable wallets: Maria Sakkari · $11.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 30 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maria Sakkari or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Storm Hunter in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Storm Hunter. This market will resolve to 'Storm Hunter' if Storm Hunter advances against Maria Sakkari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Maria Sakkari1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Maria Sakkari@ 74.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +24.2pp
Latest book event: Storm Hunter DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $5.0K → $2.4K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maria Sakkari; negative values favor Storm Hunter. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaria Sakkari · $26.2K
6hMaria Sakkari · $43.4K
24hMaria Sakkari · $41.9K

Maria Sakkari price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maria Sakkari price. Storm Hunter fills are converted to the complementary Maria Sakkari probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.9¢▲ above by 20.1pp
VWAP 7d79.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Maria Sakkari price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$45.9K
90¢
$502
85¢
$430
80¢
$14
75¢
$5.3K
70¢
$17.4K
65¢
$21.4K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMaria Sakkari$15.0K@ 99.9¢
Rock.San0xba8c…e77d
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYMaria Sakkari$19.3K@ 99.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYMaria Sakkari$10.0K@ 69.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys
94.5¢$588.6Kpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
52.5¢$485.4Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens
28.4¢$416.1Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
42.5¢$402.3Kpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Maria Sakkari$19.3K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
johnny234Maria Sakkari$17.2K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·4 fills
Rock.SanMaria Sakkari$15.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesMaria Sakkari$11.0K
BUY VWAP 74.2¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.