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China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez

Sports→TennisSettlement: Kamilla RakhimovaLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $645.4KEvent: China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez
100.0¢
Kamilla Rakhimova payout
0.0¢
Leylah Fernandez payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kamilla Rakhimova · $33.7K net·24 wallets·$98.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLeylah Fernandez$30.0K@ 59¢·0x4fdc…ca1f

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kamilla Rakhimova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Leylah Fernandez in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamilla Rakhimova' if Kamilla Rakhimova advances against Leylah Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Kamilla Rakhimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Kamilla Rakhimova@ 63.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -32.0pp1h CONFIRMED +19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Kamilla Rakhimova6d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Leylah Fernandez6d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 55.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kamilla Rakhimova; negative values favor Leylah Fernandez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeylah Fernandez · $36.1K
6hLeylah Fernandez · $29.4K
24hLeylah Fernandez · $29.4K

Kamilla Rakhimova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kamilla Rakhimova price. Leylah Fernandez fills are converted to the complementary Kamilla Rakhimova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.2¢▲ above by 45.8pp
VWAP 7d54.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kamilla Rakhimova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.0K
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$1.6K
80¢
$38.2K
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$6.2K
65¢
$15.9K
60¢
$16.0K
55¢
$29.2K
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$29.8K
40¢
$40.6K
35¢
$24.4K
30¢
$12.0K
25¢
$14.0K
20¢
$5.9K
15¢
$9.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKamilla Rakhimova$12.2K@ 83.0¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—6 days ago
SELLKamilla Rakhimova$20.0K@ 80.0¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—6 days ago
BUYLeylah Fernandez$30.0K@ 58.9¢0x4fdc…ca1f🐋—6 days ago
BUYKamilla Rakhimova$19.8K@ 49.9¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x4fdc…ca1fLeylah Fernandez$30.0K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardKamilla Rakhimova$25.7K
BUY VWAP 52.1¢·6 fills
LuzzzerKamilla Rakhimova$19.8K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardLeylah Fernandez$18.2K
BUY VWAP 45.1¢·5 fills
UpTheBluesKamilla Rakhimova$12.0K
BUY VWAP 48.7¢·22 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.