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China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang

Sports→Settlement: Alexander ZverevLiquidity: $217.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $201.3KEvent: China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang
100.0¢
Alexander Zverev payout
0.0¢
Juncheng Shang payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $9.8K net·2 wallets·$10.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$18.5K@ 100¢·hd777

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alexander Zverev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Juncheng Shang in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Juncheng Shang. This market will resolve to 'Juncheng Shang' if Juncheng Shang advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Juncheng Shang. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $18.1K
6hAlexander Zverev · $73.2K
24hAlexander Zverev · $78.5K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Juncheng Shang fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h96.3¢▲ above by 3.7pp
VWAP 7d96.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$51.1K
90¢
$28.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Zverev$18.5K@ 99.5¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—2 days ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$11.0K@ 92.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Alexander Zverev$21.4K
BUY VWAP 99.4¢·2 fills
coinlaundryAlexander Zverev$14.0K
BUY VWAP 91.8¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesAlexander Zverev$10.1K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.