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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $25.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $288.4KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
73.5¢
San Diego Padres
26.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:63 trades$116.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $15.7K net·7 wallets·$24.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$38.5K@ 60¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

San Diego Padres pressure: $6.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.6K
6h
+$75.6K
tracked
$116.5K

7 verified profitable wallets: San Diego Padres · $15.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 56

Since latest large flow: +13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 13.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Diego Padres or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xNuttawut2 linked markets · $5.2K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $3.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.0pp
Latest book event: Milwaukee Brewers DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $15 → $9.8K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor Milwaukee Brewers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $6.6K
6hSan Diego Padres · $75.6K
24hSan Diego Padres · $76.9K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. Milwaukee Brewers fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h62.0¢▲ above by 11.5pp
VWAP 7d62.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.9K
70¢
← now
$14.0K
65¢
$5.1K
60¢
$75.6K
55¢
$7.6K
50¢
$2.8K
45¢
$7.3K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$23.6K@ 63.4¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$38.5K@ 60.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooSan Diego Padres$62.1K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSan Diego Padres$11.7K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.