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Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alex BoltLiquidity: $658.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $163.4KEvent: Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny
100.0¢
Alex Bolt payout
0.0¢
Dane Sweeny payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDane Sweeny$27.6K@ 49¢·0x78be…bde0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alex Bolt. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Dane Sweeny in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Dane Sweeny. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 23d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alex Bolt23d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Alex Bolt@ 72.0¢23d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Dane Sweeny@ 48.0¢23d ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alex Bolt; negative values favor Dane Sweeny. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlex Bolt · $19.3K
6hDane Sweeny · $6.0K
24hDane Sweeny · $6.0K

Alex Bolt price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alex Bolt price. Dane Sweeny fills are converted to the complementary Alex Bolt probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.37¢▲ above by 37.6pp
VWAP 7d62.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alex Bolt price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$8.0K
80¢
$30
75¢
$587
70¢
$13.7K
65¢
$6
60¢
$720
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$31.9K
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDane Sweeny$27.6K@ 48.61¢0x78be…bde0🐋—23 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.