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Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Sports→Formula 1Settlement: YESLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.5KEvent: United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$5 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1150 min agoofficial metadata 100 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0821…41fb2 linked markets · $200 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hNO · $5

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h98.8¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d98.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.