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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: AstralisLiquidity: $19.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $38.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
100.0¢
Astralis payout
0.0¢
fnatic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:9 trades$33.7K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 87%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 140 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAstralis$10.3K@ 100¢·aaaa298

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Astralis. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 23:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against fnatic.

•This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 1 against Astralis.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Astralis and fnatic in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 1 against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 1 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2982 linked markets · $22.9K gross
iii2522 linked markets · $11.1K gross
fantasy77882 linked markets · $9.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Astralis; negative values favor fnatic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hfnatic · $15.9K
6hfnatic · $15.8K
24hfnatic · $15.8K

Astralis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Astralis price. fnatic fills are converted to the complementary Astralis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.1¢▲ above by 10.9pp
VWAP 7d89.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Astralis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$23.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.7K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAstralis$10.3K@ 99.9¢
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.