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China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $220.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $408.9KEvent: China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng
30.5¢
Marie Bouzkova
69.5¢
Qinwen Zheng
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:207 trades$130.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marie Bouzkova · $4.1K net·8 wallets·$19.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYQinwen Zheng$16.1K@ 59¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Marie Bouzkova pressure: $9.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.3K
6h
−$18.7K
tracked
$130.3K

8 verified profitable wallets: Marie Bouzkova · $4.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 54

Since latest large flow: +10.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 10.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Marie Bouzkova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Qinwen Zheng in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Qinwen Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Marie Bouzkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Qinwen Zheng@ 60.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: Qinwen Zheng UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $92.5K → $24.4K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marie Bouzkova; negative values favor Qinwen Zheng. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarie Bouzkova · $9.3K
6hQinwen Zheng · $18.7K
24hQinwen Zheng · $15.9K

Marie Bouzkova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marie Bouzkova price. Qinwen Zheng fills are converted to the complementary Marie Bouzkova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h38.6¢▼ below by 8.1pp
VWAP 7d38.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marie Bouzkova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$19.0K
40¢
$42.0K
35¢
$40.7K
30¢
← now
$10.8K
25¢
$8.6K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$4.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYQinwen Zheng$11.0K@ 60.0¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYQinwen Zheng$16.1K@ 59.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnQinwen Zheng$16.1K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
0x0cdf…ec9eQinwen Zheng$11.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.