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Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $101.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $319.6KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic
54.5¢
Terence Atmane payout
45.5¢
Bernard Tomic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:63 trades$183.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 89 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bernard Tomic · $11.2K net·8 wallets·$37.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBernard Tomic$65.9K@ 97¢·tenniz

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 05:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Bernard Tomic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Bernard Tomic. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 37m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 37m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Bernard Tomic UP 13.0pp · near-book depth $159 → $591 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Terence Atmane; negative values favor Bernard Tomic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBernard Tomic · $24.6K
6hBernard Tomic · $21.2K
24hBernard Tomic · $21.2K

Terence Atmane price VWAP

Volume-weighted Terence Atmane price. Bernard Tomic fills are converted to the complementary Terence Atmane probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h15.7¢▲ above by 38.8pp
VWAP 7d15.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Terence Atmane price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$11.0K
80¢
$362
75¢
$2.9K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$10
60¢
$31
55¢
$7.9K
50¢
← now
$3.9K
45¢
$3.7K
40¢
$2.7K
35¢
$199
30¢
$3.4K
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$4.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$13.1K
0¢
$126.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBernard Tomic$50.8K@ 99.9¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBernard Tomic$65.9K@ 97.0¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennizBernard Tomic$65.9K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardBernard Tomic$19.7K
BUY VWAP 72.9¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.