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UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)

● quote 8 min ago
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $117.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $649.2KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)
0.1¢
Chad Anheliger
99.9¢
Steven Koslow
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:89 trades$254.8K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Steven Koslow · $54.7K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$57.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSteven Koslow$45.2K@ 62¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Chad Anheliger pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.3K
6h
+$104.0K
tracked
$254.8K

8 verified profitable wallets: Steven Koslow · $54.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +32.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chad Anheliger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chad Anheliger" if Chad Anheliger is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steven Koslow at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Steven Koslow" if Steven Koslow is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Chad Anheliger" if Chad Anheliger is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steven Koslow at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Steven Koslow" if Steven Koslow is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Steven Koslow55m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Steven Koslow@ 68.0¢58m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Chad Anheliger@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -35.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chad Anheliger@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -35.0pp
Latest book event: Chad Anheliger DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $140 → $143 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chad Anheliger; negative values favor Steven Koslow. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChad Anheliger · $2.3K
6hChad Anheliger · $104.0K
24hChad Anheliger · $102.9K

Chad Anheliger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chad Anheliger price. Steven Koslow fills are converted to the complementary Chad Anheliger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h35.1¢▼ below by 35.0pp
VWAP 7d35.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Chad Anheliger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$227.2K
30¢
$590
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.5K
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$20.6K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSteven Koslow$45.2K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$23.5K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$21.5K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.8K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChad Anheliger$15.6K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.7K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.0K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChad Anheliger$13.2K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChad Anheliger$10.8K@ 39.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketChad Anheliger$158.4K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·16 fills
ferrariChampions2026Steven Koslow$50.2K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.