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Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Guido Justo

Sports→Settlement: Guido JustoLiquidity: $596.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $301.2KEvent: Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Guido Justo
0.0¢
Gustavo Heide payout
100.0¢
Guido Justo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:81 trades$119.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 71 min agoofficial metadata 46 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Guido Justo · $13.1K net·8 wallets·$17.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGustavo Heide$39.6K@ 77¢·0x004c…bb89

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Guido Justo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gustavo Heide and Guido Justo in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Heide' if Gustavo Heide advances against Guido Justo. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Gustavo Heide. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Gustavo Heide@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -35.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Gustavo Heide@ 44.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Gustavo Heide UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $30 → $7.1K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gustavo Heide; negative values favor Guido Justo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGuido Justo · $4.3K
6hGustavo Heide · $19.0K
24hGustavo Heide · $19.0K

Gustavo Heide price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gustavo Heide price. Guido Justo fills are converted to the complementary Gustavo Heide probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h43.8¢▼ below by 43.8pp
VWAP 7d43.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gustavo Heide price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$39.6K
70¢
$130
65¢
$0
60¢
$4
55¢
$480
50¢
$295
45¢
$16.9K
40¢
$57
35¢
$21.5K
30¢
$97
25¢
$1.8K
20¢
$8.1K
15¢
$10.1K
10¢
$7.7K
5¢
$2.1K
0¢
← now
$10.1K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGustavo Heide$12.7K@ 46.8¢
petyas2310x6b91…06c4
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLGustavo Heide$19.3K@ 37.4¢0x004c…bb89🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGustavo Heide$39.6K@ 76.7¢0x004c…bb89🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x004c…bb89Gustavo Heide$39.6K
BUY VWAP 76.7¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesGuido Justo$13.2K
BUY VWAP 80.2¢·8 fills
petyas231Gustavo Heide$12.7K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.