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Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lukas NeumayerLiquidity: $162.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $307.7KEvent: Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer
0.0¢
Florian Broska payout
100.0¢
Lukas Neumayer payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:95 trades$92.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Florian Broska · $1.2K net·18 wallets·$22.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlorian Broska$11.0K@ 57¢·Luzzzer

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lukas Neumayer. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Florian Broska and Lukas Neumayer in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florian Broska' if Florian Broska advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Florian Broska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Lukas Neumayer UP 2.7pp · near-book depth $61.5K → $23.8K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Florian Broska; negative values favor Lukas Neumayer. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlorian Broska · $4.1K
6hFlorian Broska · $31.4K
24hFlorian Broska · $31.4K

Florian Broska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Florian Broska price. Lukas Neumayer fills are converted to the complementary Florian Broska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.7¢▼ below by 35.7pp
VWAP 7d35.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Florian Broska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$19.5K
50¢
$6.7K
45¢
$7.3K
40¢
$6.5K
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$24.7K
25¢
$6.1K
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$10.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$9.7K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLukas Neumayer$10.2K@ 69.5¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFlorian Broska$11.0K@ 56.6¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooFlorian Broska$12.0K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills
LuzzzerFlorian Broska$11.0K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.