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Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana

● quote 6 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $64.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $449.2KEvent: Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana
99.9¢
Guido Justo
0.1¢
Francisco Comesana
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution24Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:205 trades$174.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Comesana · $3.5K net·18 wallets·$40.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGuido Justo$36.8K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Francisco Comesana pressure: $10.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.8K
6h
−$65.3K
tracked
$174.2K

18 verified profitable wallets: Francisco Comesana · $3.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +39.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 39.7pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Francisco Comesana or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Francisco Comesana in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Francisco Comesana. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Guido Justo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Francisco Comesana@ 60.3¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.3pp1h INVALIDATED -60.2pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Guido Justo3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Guido Justo@ 36.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.5pp
Latest book event: Guido Justo UP 3.8pp · near-book depth $65.9K → $31.2K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Guido Justo; negative values favor Francisco Comesana. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancisco Comesana · $10.8K
6hFrancisco Comesana · $65.3K
24hFrancisco Comesana · $65.3K

Guido Justo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Guido Justo price. Francisco Comesana fills are converted to the complementary Guido Justo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.3¢▲ above by 36.6pp
VWAP 7d63.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Guido Justo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$68.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$4.9K
80¢
$3.7K
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$10.5K
65¢
$30
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.3K
45¢
$3.1K
40¢
$18.2K
35¢
$10.7K
30¢
$3.7K
25¢
$21.1K
20¢
$7.2K
15¢
$1.0K
10¢
$14.5K
5¢
$1.1K
0¢
$37

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGuido Justo$10.8K@ 99.9¢
bestevertodoit0x7750…a3f3
🐋—24 minutes ago
SELLGuido Justo$36.8K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFrancisco Comesana$20.0K@ 72.2¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x08a3…8666Francisco Comesana$24.1K
BUY VWAP 72.9¢·2 fills
kkookkooGuido Justo$15.1K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.