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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: MOUZLiquidity: $73.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $163.4KEvent: Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
MOUZ payout
0.0¢
Nemiga Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:56 trades$60.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 49 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $728 net·5 wallets·$800 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ$10.0K@ 62¢·0xe16d…5e30

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome MOUZ. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between MOUZ and Nemiga Gaming in the PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $19.8K gross
sashasasha52 linked markets · $18.9K gross
decamats2 linked markets · $8.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: MOUZ UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $145 → $3.0K · 61s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor Nemiga Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNemiga Gaming · $2.3K
6hMOUZ · $23.4K
24hMOUZ · $23.4K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. Nemiga Gaming fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h82.5¢▲ above by 17.5pp
VWAP 7d82.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$23.0K
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$8.0K
80¢
$37
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$10.7K
60¢
$12.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$10.0K@ 62.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30MOUZ$13.8K
BUY VWAP 62.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.