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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: MOUZLiquidity: $223.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $166.8KEvent: Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
MOUZ payout
0.0¢
Nemiga Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:74 trades$37.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $2.7K net·11 wallets·$5.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ$10.2K@ 100¢·DotG

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome MOUZ. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between MOUZ and Nemiga Gaming in the PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Nemiga Gaming. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $19.8K gross
sashasasha52 linked markets · $18.9K gross
DotG2 linked markets · $14.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: MOUZ DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $534 → $175 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor Nemiga Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $8.3K
6hMOUZ · $21.5K
24hMOUZ · $22.8K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. Nemiga Gaming fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h92.1¢▲ above by 7.9pp
VWAP 7d92.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.7K
90¢
$863
85¢
$4.5K
80¢
$10.9K
75¢
$910
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$10.2K@ 99.9¢
DotG0xcd36…0f01
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DotGMOUZ$10.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.