PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $409.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $326.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
98.7¢
Vitality
1.2¢
Team Falcons
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets30Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:129 trades$103.4K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vitality · $10.4K net·16 wallets·$34.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$6.4K@ 64¢·jaytee158

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Vitality pressure: $3.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.0K
6h
+$23.4K
tracked
$103.4K

16 verified profitable wallets: Vitality · $10.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Vitality and Team Falcons in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $34.4K gross
Sunshine.Smile3 linked markets · $29.6K gross
TommyLeePeeca3 linked markets · $27.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Vitality DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $8.0K → $611 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vitality; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVitality · $3.0K
6hVitality · $23.4K
24hVitality · $23.4K

Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vitality price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.7¢
VWAP 24h77.5¢▲ above by 21.2pp
VWAP 7d77.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$24.8K
90¢
$4.8K
85¢
$10.4K
80¢
$3.5K
75¢
$3.4K
70¢
$13.3K
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$41.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
68.5¢$1.3Mpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
0.1¢$63.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller
44.5¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Falcons vs. Saints
47.5¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
84.5¢$596.8Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
46.5¢$448.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$425.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.