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China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek

Sports→TennisSettlement: Iga SwiatekLiquidity: $231.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $388.8KEvent: China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek
0.0¢
Iva Jovic payout
100.0¢
Iga Swiatek payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:143 trades$164.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iga Swiatek · $23.8K net·11 wallets·$41.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIga Swiatek$17.0K@ 100¢·beeemw

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iga Swiatek. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-13 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Iva Jovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 22m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 22m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Iva Jovic@ 14.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.7pp
Latest book event: Iga Swiatek DOWN 2.6pp · near-book depth $75.1K → $26.3K · 54s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iva Jovic; negative values favor Iga Swiatek. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIva Jovic · $13.3K
6hIga Swiatek · $66.9K
24hIga Swiatek · $62.6K

Iva Jovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iva Jovic price. Iga Swiatek fills are converted to the complementary Iva Jovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h14.3¢▼ below by 14.3pp
VWAP 7d14.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iva Jovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$16.9K
30¢
$26.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$10.2K
10¢
$6.3K
5¢
$73.6K
0¢
← now
$28.2K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIga Swiatek$17.0K@ 99.9¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIga Swiatek$12.0K@ 95.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$13.9K@ 92.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYIva Jovic$14.0K@ 36.1¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$11.2K@ 66.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Iga Swiatek$25.9K
BUY VWAP 93.4¢·2 fills
coinlaundryIga Swiatek$21.2K
BUY VWAP 93.6¢·4 fills
kkookkooIva Jovic$16.5K
BUY VWAP 29.7¢·2 fills
beeemwIga Swiatek$11.2K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpIga Swiatek$11.1K
BUY VWAP 87.5¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.