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LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $258.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $696.4KEvent: LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
0.1¢
JD Gaming
100.0¢
LGD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 26 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:285 trades$277.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LGD Gaming · $20.1K net·26 wallets(2🐋)·$81.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLGD Gaming$36.3K@ 100¢·0xe2d0…7bbf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

JD Gaming pressure: $68.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$68.3K
6h
+$73.9K
tracked
$277.9K

26 verified profitable wallets: LGD Gaming · $20.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from JD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against JD Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between JD Gaming and LGD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against JD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN2 linked markets · $41.4K gross
fantasy77882 linked markets · $40.0K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $33.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY LGD Gaming1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY LGD Gaming@ 80.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY JD Gaming1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY JD Gaming@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -47.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: JD Gaming DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $110 → $176 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor JD Gaming; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJD Gaming · $68.3K
6hJD Gaming · $73.9K
24hJD Gaming · $73.9K

JD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted JD Gaming price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary JD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.8¢▼ below by 25.8pp
VWAP 7d25.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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JD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.5K
60¢
$0
55¢
$77.4K
50¢
$27.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$5.0K
35¢
$4.4K
30¢
$6.0K
25¢
$2.6K
20¢
$6.3K
15¢
$3.4K
10¢
$6.3K
5¢
$3.7K
0¢
← now
$130.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLGD Gaming$36.3K@ 99.9¢0xe2d0…7bbf🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLGD Gaming$11.6K@ 99.9¢
Lucas1tb0xe1f3…5402
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLGD Gaming$18.9K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLGD Gaming$15.6K@ 44.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJD Gaming$10.0K@ 55.6¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJD Gaming$16.4K@ 54.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563LGD Gaming$24.3K
BUY VWAP 48.8¢·3 fills
0x076d…8d4cJD Gaming$16.4K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
fantasy7788JD Gaming$10.0K
BUY VWAP 55.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.