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LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $106.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $513.1KEvent: LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
26.5¢
JD Gaming
73.5¢
LGD Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:117 trades$222.6K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 78 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LGD Gaming · $2.1K net·13 wallets·$17.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLGD Gaming$27.0K@ 48¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

LGD Gaming pressure: $8.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.8K
6h
−$17.9K
tracked
$222.6K

13 verified profitable wallets: LGD Gaming · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 78 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LGD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between JD Gaming and LGD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77882 linked markets · $40.0K gross
Zzzz872 linked markets · $26.5K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $25.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY LGD Gaming@ 48.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY LGD Gaming@ 48.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY JD Gaming@ 54.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor JD Gaming; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLGD Gaming · $8.8K
6hLGD Gaming · $17.9K
24hLGD Gaming · $15.5K

JD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted JD Gaming price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary JD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h52.8¢▼ below by 26.3pp
VWAP 7d52.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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JD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$277
55¢
$53.0K
50¢
$156.8K
45¢
$662
40¢
$0
35¢
$3.0K
30¢
$6.9K
25¢
← now
$2.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJD Gaming$19.0K@ 56.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$10.0K@ 56.9¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$20.0K@ 55.2¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$14.5K@ 53.9¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$16.4K@ 48.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$27.0K@ 48.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$15.0K@ 47.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYJD Gaming$20.0K@ 53.1¢
Telawin0xf363…c197
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYJD Gaming$10.5K@ 53.0¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaLGD Gaming$58.4K
BUY VWAP 47.7¢·3 fills
fantasy7788JD Gaming$30.0K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·2 fills
0x9e3e…f882JD Gaming$22.0K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·4 fills
TelawinJD Gaming$20.0K
BUY VWAP 53.1¢·1 fill
Zzzz87JD Gaming$15.9K
BUY VWAP 53.8¢·2 fills
madkkeeJD Gaming$10.5K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.