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China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $352.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $661.2KEvent: China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina
0.1¢
Ann Li
99.9¢
Elina Svitolina
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:108 trades$250.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elina Svitolina · $46.7K net·9 wallets·$65.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLElina Svitolina$49.4K@ 100¢·0xc1acc1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Ann Li pressure: $53.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$53.7K
6h
−$37.0K
tracked
$250.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: Elina Svitolina · $46.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 11.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ann Li or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Elina Svitolina in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Elina Svitolina. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Elina Svitolina1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Elina Svitolina@ 89.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.2pp
Latest book event: Elina Svitolina UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $63.2K → $43.8K · 40s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ann Li; negative values favor Elina Svitolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnn Li · $53.7K
6hElina Svitolina · $37.0K
24hElina Svitolina · $37.0K

Ann Li price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ann Li price. Elina Svitolina fills are converted to the complementary Ann Li probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h8.6¢▼ below by 8.5pp
VWAP 7d8.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ann Li price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$26.4K
20¢
$17.0K
15¢
$6.7K
10¢
$63.8K
5¢
$15.9K
0¢
← now
$120.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLElina Svitolina$49.4K@ 99.9¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYElina Svitolina$11.5K@ 98.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYElina Svitolina$11.6K@ 89.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElina Svitolina$39.4K@ 89.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc1acc1Elina Svitolina$51.0K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesElina Svitolina$15.6K
BUY VWAP 91.4¢·7 fills
dmoralezElina Svitolina$14.4K
BUY VWAP 89.3¢·10 fills
FlaznorpElina Svitolina$14.0K
BUY VWAP 91.6¢·4 fills
hd777Elina Svitolina$13.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.