PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $339.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $871.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
12.5¢
PARIVISION
87.5¢
Natus Vincere
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection37Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 91%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:220 trades$473.0K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 63%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 11s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $47.2K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$83.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$63.9K@ 66¢·juice-fruit

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Natus Vincere pressure: $149.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$149.9K
6h
−$243.4K
tracked
$473.0K

10 verified profitable wallets: Natus Vincere · $47.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 91% · priority 70

Since latest liquidity absorption: +21.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 21.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Natus Vincere or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against PARIVISION.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between PARIVISION and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xheavy8882 linked markets · $43.3K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria3 linked markets · $35.4K gross
fantasy77882 linked markets · $15.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Natus Vincere49m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Natus Vincere@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +21.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Natus Vincere@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +21.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Natus Vincere@ 67.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PARIVISION; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $149.9K
6hNatus Vincere · $243.4K
24hNatus Vincere · $285.9K

PARIVISION price VWAP

Volume-weighted PARIVISION price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary PARIVISION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current12.5¢
VWAP 24h31.3¢▼ below by 18.8pp
VWAP 7d31.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

PARIVISION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$42.2K
30¢
$244.0K
25¢
$110.4K
20¢
$9.4K
15¢
$2.3K
10¢
← now
$64.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNatus Vincere$17.4K@ 87.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYNatus Vincere$18.8K@ 88.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYNatus Vincere$19.8K@ 75.0¢
WordleAddict0xe25b…0f1b
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYNatus Vincere$30.0K@ 75.0¢
0xheavy8880xec98…afcd
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYNatus Vincere$22.5K@ 75.0¢
ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYNatus Vincere$13.4K@ 67.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNatus Vincere$10.1K@ 67.0¢0xc74e…e725🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNatus Vincere$63.9K@ 66.0¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$25.0K@ 66.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$10.2K@ 66.0¢0xeaa2…670e🐋—about 11 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
7.5¢$421.4Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
66.0¢$112.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
29.5¢$76.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier
59.5¢$1.1Mpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina
2.1¢$652.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

juice-fruitNatus Vincere$63.9K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0xheavy888Natus Vincere$37.5K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·3 fills
0xf559…f462Natus Vincere$25.0K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
ethBELIVERNatus Vincere$22.5K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
0xc1acc1Natus Vincere$22.4K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·3 fills
WordleAddictNatus Vincere$19.8K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
0x29b5…cc6cNatus Vincere$18.3K
BUY VWAP 64.8¢·9 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaNatus Vincere$13.4K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
0xeaa2…670eNatus Vincere$10.2K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0xc74e…e725Natus Vincere$10.1K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.