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China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens

Sports→TennisSettlement: Elise MertensLiquidity: $503.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $984.1KEvent: China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens
0.0¢
Coco Gauff payout
100.0¢
Elise Mertens payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:214 trades$461.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Coco Gauff · $16.3K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$62.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLElise Mertens$202.0K@ 100¢·0x08a3…8666

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Elise Mertens. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-14 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Elise Mertens in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Coco Gauff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Elise Mertens1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Elise Mertens1h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Elise Mertens@ 93.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Elise Mertens@ 83.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Elise Mertens UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $52.5K → $21.0K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Coco Gauff; negative values favor Elise Mertens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCoco Gauff · $202.3K
6hCoco Gauff · $196.4K
24hCoco Gauff · $197.5K

Coco Gauff price VWAP

Volume-weighted Coco Gauff price. Elise Mertens fills are converted to the complementary Coco Gauff probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.3¢▼ below by 16.3pp
VWAP 7d16.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Coco Gauff price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$6.0K
75¢
$46.0K
70¢
$9.0K
65¢
$230
60¢
$527
55¢
$47
50¢
$13
45¢
$5.5K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$1.6K
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$36.5K
20¢
$27.5K
15¢
$12.4K
10¢
$11.2K
5¢
$39.0K
0¢
← now
$261.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLElise Mertens$202.0K@ 99.9¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLElise Mertens$26.3K@ 99.9¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYElise Mertens$23.5K@ 94.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYElise Mertens$27.0K@ 74.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCoco Gauff$14.0K@ 22.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCoco Gauff$15.0K@ 79.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x08a3…8666Elise Mertens$33.4K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·4 fills
0xc1acc1Elise Mertens$24.7K
BUY VWAP 93.9¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Coco Gauff$22.6K
BUY VWAP 17.8¢·4 fills
beeemwCoco Gauff$16.9K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesElise Mertens$14.3K
BUY VWAP 42.1¢·14 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.