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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Aurora GamingLiquidity: $383.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $912.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
0.0¢
FURIA payout
100.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:215 trades$382.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 15 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $6.4K net·14 wallets·$61.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAurora Gaming$57.0K@ 100¢·qiu3

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aurora Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 21:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against FURIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against FURIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
qiu32 linked markets · $160.3K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $82.7K gross
0x1192…14063 linked markets · $71.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Aurora Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Aurora Gaming@ 34.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Aurora Gaming UP 8.2pp · near-book depth $1.6K → $47.7K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor Aurora Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $100.9K
6hFURIA · $72.2K
24hFURIA · $72.2K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. Aurora Gaming fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h20.6¢▼ below by 20.6pp
VWAP 7d20.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.3K
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$12.7K
60¢
$6.1K
55¢
$83.4K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$9.4K
40¢
$4.8K
35¢
$5.4K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$7.6K
15¢
$10.5K
10¢
$7.2K
5¢
$14.0K
0¢
← now
$213.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAurora Gaming$26.4K@ 99.9¢0x1192…1406🐋—44 minutes ago
SELLAurora Gaming$57.0K@ 99.9¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAurora Gaming$31.3K@ 99.9¢0xe2d0…7bbf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora Gaming$29.1K@ 99.9¢
CoinTrick0x731a…033f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora Gaming$15.5K@ 99.9¢
6950xb2cb…2bad
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora Gaming$20.0K@ 42.8¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAurora Gaming$10.0K@ 41.8¢
Mrfattytiger0x0fb5…e503
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

CoinTrickAurora Gaming$29.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
qiu3Aurora Gaming$21.0K
BUY VWAP 42.8¢·2 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fAurora Gaming$18.3K
BUY VWAP 81.8¢·13 fills
695Aurora Gaming$15.5K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
MrfattytigerAurora Gaming$10.0K
BUY VWAP 41.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.