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Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

● quote 17s ago
Sports→BaseballCloses: 23 minutesLiquidity: $33.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $61.5KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
51.0¢
Chicago White Sox
49.0¢
Cleveland Guardians
6.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution8Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$24.2K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 38s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$10.5K@ 65¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chicago White Sox pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.3K
6h
+$3.1K
tracked
$24.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Cleveland Guardians · $10.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
6.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 6.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago White Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 7 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $34.6K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $8.9K gross
MAGATheeStallion2 linked markets · $4.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $342 → $44 · 113s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $2.3K
6hChicago White Sox · $3.1K
24hChicago White Sox · $3.1K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.0¢
VWAP 24h35.1¢▲ above by 15.9pp
VWAP 7d35.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$24.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$10.5K@ 65.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Cleveland Guardians$10.5K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.