PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Ohio (-20.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $320Event: Ohio vs. Sacramento State
0.0¢
Ohio
0.0¢
Sacramento State
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$128 trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 189 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$128
tracked
$128

1 verified profitable wallet: Ohio · $128 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 189 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game by 21 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sacramento State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sacramento State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $27.7K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $24.1K gross
UpTheBlues5 linked markets · $388 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ohio; negative values favor Sacramento State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOhio · $0
6hOhio · $128
24hOhio · $128

Ohio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ohio price. Sacramento State fills are converted to the complementary Ohio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h40.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d40.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Ohio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$128
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
87.2¢$879.9Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)
0.0¢$649.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)
100.0¢$484.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢$429.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$422.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
69.5¢$380.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)
50.5¢$354.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.