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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $38.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $673.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
47.5¢
PARIVISION
52.5¢
Natus Vincere
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution68Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 20 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:317 trades$236.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $42.6K net·20 wallets(2🐋)·$119.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$24.3K@ 47¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Natus Vincere pressure: $25.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$25.1K
6h
−$63.8K
tracked
$236.1K

20 verified profitable wallets: Natus Vincere · $42.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 49

Since latest large flow: -16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Natus Vincere or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 2 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against PARIVISION.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between PARIVISION and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xheavy8883 linked markets · $55.5K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria3 linked markets · $36.7K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $33.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Natus Vincere2m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 69.0¢32m ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Natus Vincere32m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Natus Vincere@ 59.0¢34m ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp
Latest book event: PARIVISION UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.1K → $3.6K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PARIVISION; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $25.1K
6hNatus Vincere · $63.8K
24hNatus Vincere · $63.8K

PARIVISION price VWAP

Volume-weighted PARIVISION price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary PARIVISION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h42.3¢▲ above by 5.2pp
VWAP 7d42.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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PARIVISION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$6.1K
70¢
$2.2K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$14.1K
50¢
$63.6K
45¢
← now
$19.7K
40¢
$23.1K
35¢
$7.5K
30¢
$20.3K
25¢
$54.7K
20¢
$11.8K
15¢
$5.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNatus Vincere$24.3K@ 47.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYNatus Vincere$11.5K@ 72.0¢
trader123120xdac3…66d8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNatus Vincere$10.5K@ 71.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Natus Vincere$27.2K
BUY VWAP 42.6¢·2 fills
trader12312Natus Vincere$11.5K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
Sunshine.SmileNatus Vincere$10.5K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.