PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $694Official 24h Vol: $118.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
76.0¢
Natus Vincere
68.0¢
PARIVISION
16.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution3Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$37.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $190 net·3 wallets·$190 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$24.8K@ 39¢·Waynats

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

PARIVISION pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
+$24.9K
tracked
$37.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: Natus Vincere · $190 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
16.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 16.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from PARIVISION or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than PARIVISION in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "PARIVISION".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between PARIVISION and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more maps than PARIVISION in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "PARIVISION". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xheavy8883 linked markets · $56.8K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria3 linked markets · $36.7K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $33.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 39.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: PARIVISION UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $0 → $233 · 42s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Natus Vincere; negative values favor PARIVISION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPARIVISION · $1.1K
6hNatus Vincere · $24.9K
24hNatus Vincere · $26.0K

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Volume-weighted Natus Vincere price. PARIVISION fills are converted to the complementary Natus Vincere probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current76.0¢
VWAP 24h40.4¢▲ above by 35.6pp
VWAP 7d40.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$0
70¢
$92
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$15
55¢
$0
50¢
$310
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$3.7K
35¢
$31.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNatus Vincere$24.8K@ 39.0¢
Waynats0x1192…1406
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
15.0¢$1.1Mpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
35.5¢$673.9Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$275.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WaynatsNatus Vincere$24.8K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.