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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda

Sports→TennisSettlement: Learner TienLiquidity: $73.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $354.3KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda
100.0¢
Learner Tien payout
0.0¢
Zachary Svajda payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:68 trades$159.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 64 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Learner Tien · $45.6K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$57.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLearner Tien$10.9K@ 87¢·177-letsgo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Learner Tien. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Zachary Svajda in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Zachary Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Learner Tien@ 86.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Learner Tien@ 89.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Learner Tien@ 88.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Learner Tien UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $6.9K → $1.2K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Learner Tien; negative values favor Zachary Svajda. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLearner Tien · $7.3K
6hLearner Tien · $90.8K
24hLearner Tien · $91.7K

Learner Tien price VWAP

Volume-weighted Learner Tien price. Zachary Svajda fills are converted to the complementary Learner Tien probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h84.3¢▲ above by 15.7pp
VWAP 7d84.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Learner Tien price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.2K
90¢
$10.9K
85¢
$83.5K
80¢
$491
75¢
$4.3K
70¢
$21.3K
65¢
$18.9K
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLearner Tien$10.7K@ 94.9¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLearner Tien$10.9K@ 87.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesLearner Tien$35.4K
BUY VWAP 86.2¢·8 fills
177-letsgoLearner Tien$19.8K
BUY VWAP 87.9¢·2 fills
FlaznorpLearner Tien$10.7K
BUY VWAP 94.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.