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Games Total: O/U 4.5

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
26.5¢
Over
73.5¢
Under
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$1.8K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$1.6K@ 32¢·yishiwucheng

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$32
6h
+$1.7K
tracked
$1.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Over · $1.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if BNK FEARX and JD Gaming play 5 or more games in this series.

•If fewer than 5 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if BNK FEARX and JD Gaming play 5 or more games in this series. If fewer than 5 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $78.1K gross
ziyoucui3 linked markets · $52.8K gross
fantasy77883 linked markets · $48.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $32
6hOver · $1.7K
24hOver · $1.7K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h32.0¢▼ below by 5.5pp
VWAP 7d32.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
← now
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
84.5¢$1.1Mpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$922.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
69.5¢$389.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
62.5¢$66.2Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
62.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
First Blood in Game 2?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.